Shock poll puts Reform UK just eight points behind the Conservatives which fall to 20%

Friday 19 January 2024

A new poll for YouGov has put Reform UK on a record 12% just eight points behind the Conservative Party which has fallen to 20%.

Since the YouGov's last poll on 11 January, Reform UK saw its share of the vote increase 2% as the Conservatives dropped 2%.

Labour stood at 47%, making it the highest lead for Labour since Liz Truss's premiership, after a 2% increase in vote.

Meanwhile, the Liberal Democrats have 8% of the vote, an increase of 1% from previous polls, and the Green Party has 7%, a decrease of 1%.

Responding to the poll on X, Reform leader Richard Tice wrote: "BREAKING NEWS: Reform UK hit 12% in a major poll for the first time! Together, let’s save Britain!"

Mr Tice has insisted his party will not broker a deal with the Conservatives in the event their is a hung parliament after this year's general election. "There will be no deals," he said. "We stand everywhere. I'm issuing this stark warning to Rishi Sunak today. Reform UK is ready for the general election."

The poll suggests public confidence in the Conservatives’ leadership of the UK has fallen to levels last seen when Liz Truss was prime minister.

Some 25% of the public also told pollster Ipsos UK they were confident that the Conservatives could provide “strong and stable leadership”, with 70% saying they did not.

The figures were similar to those seen shortly before Ms Truss left office in October 2022, when 71% said they did not have confidence in the Tories’ leadership.

Once Ms Truss had been replaced, the number of people saying they lacked confidence in the party fell to 54%, but this has risen again over the past year.

Ipsos director of politics Keiran Pedley said: “These figures suggest that any recovery of the Conservative brand that occurred when Rishi Sunak took over as Prime Minister has more or less been reversed.

“Voters are as unconvinced in the Conservative’s ability to provide strong and stable leadership as they were in the dying days of Liz Truss’s premiership – and they are equally negative about the party’s long-term economic plan.”